Liga MX Finals Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
EST
2 - 5
CAZ
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
CAZ
2 - 3
VER
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
IRA
1 - 2
CAZ
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
PUM
2 - 1
CAZ
52%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
CAZ
1 - 0
PUE
65%
21%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
ATL
2 - 2
TIG
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
TIG
1 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
SNL
0 - 2
TIG
30%
27%
44%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2003 |
TIG
1 - 0
TOL
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
TIG
4 - 1
ATS
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |