Cruz Azul vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2001 |
SAO
1 - 1
CAZ
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2001 |
OLM
2 - 3
CAZ
36%
23%
41%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2001 |
CAZ
2 - 0
DEF
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2000 |
CAZ
4 - 1
TAC
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2000 |
CAZ
4 - 1
MIR
73%
16%
12%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2001 |
OLM
2 - 1
SAO
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2001 |
SAO
1 - 1
CAZ
38%
24%
38%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2001 |
VAS
3 - 1
SAO
81%
12%
7%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2000 |
SAO
1 - 1
VAS
28%
24%
49%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
GRE
1 - 3
SAO
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |