Cruz Azul vs San Luis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
14%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 3
CAZ
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
3 - 0
CAZ
47%
24%
28%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
CAZ
2 - 1
LEO
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 1
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAZ
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
SNL
1 - 1
SAN
23%
24%
53%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SNL
0 - 2
TOL
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TIJ
0 - 0
SNL
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SNL
0 - 0
QRO
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ATS
2 - 3
SNL
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |