Cruz Azul vs Reboceros de la Piedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
ATS
3 - 1
CAZ
36%
28%
37%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
AME
3 - 0
CAZ
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
CAZ
2 - 1
ATS
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
REB
1 - 0
CAZ
20%
24%
56%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TIG
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Reboceros de la Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
REB
1 - 0
CAZ
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
JAG
0 - 0
REB
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
REB
0 - 1
JAG
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
SNL
2 - 1
REB
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
REB
1 - 4
SNL
37%
26%
38%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |