Cruz Azul vs Querétaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
MOR
2 - 0
CAZ
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2004 |
SAN
3 - 2
CAZ
58%
22%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
CAZ
1 - 2
PAC
51%
24%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
JAG
2 - 1
CAZ
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
CAZ
1 - 3
ATL
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
QRO
3 - 3
PUM
22%
25%
54%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
PUE
1 - 0
QRO
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
QRO
1 - 1
NEC
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 0
QRO
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
QRO
2 - 1
TOL
22%
26%
52%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |