Liga MX Finals Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Cruz Azul vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2010 |
PUM
1 - 2
CAZ
40%
26%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CAZ
1 - 0
SNL
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 0
CAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
CAZ
1 - 0
PUE
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2010 |
MON
2 - 4
CAZ
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2010 |
PUM
1 - 2
CAZ
40%
26%
33%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
AME
0 - 1
PUM
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
PUM
2 - 0
NEC
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
QRO
2 - 1
PUM
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
PUM
1 - 1
ATS
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |