Cruz Azul vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2001 |
CAZ
1 - 0
PUE
73%
15%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
REB
1 - 5
CAZ
11%
21%
68%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
ATS
0 - 0
CAZ
41%
24%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2001 |
CAZ
0 - 0
SAN
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
CAZ
2 - 3
IRA
85%
10%
5%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
PUM
2 - 1
REB
82%
13%
5%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
PUM
2 - 2
ATS
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
IRA
0 - 0
PUM
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
PUM
1 - 0
TIG
52%
22%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
PAC
2 - 0
PUM
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |