Cruz Azul vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
REB
1 - 5
CAZ
11%
21%
68%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
ATS
0 - 0
CAZ
41%
24%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2001 |
CAZ
0 - 0
SAN
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
CAZ
2 - 3
IRA
85%
10%
5%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2001 |
TIG
3 - 2
CAZ
42%
24%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
PUE
2 - 1
SAN
43%
24%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
REB
3 - 2
PUE
19%
24%
57%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
PUE
1 - 1
EST
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2001 |
PUE
1 - 1
CHI
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
ATS
3 - 1
PUE
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |