Cruz Azul vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
JAG
0 - 1
CAZ
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
PAC
1 - 1
CAZ
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAZ
2 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
MON
0 - 0
CAZ
49%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
PAC
2 - 1
TIJ
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
PAC
1 - 1
CAZ
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
TIG
0 - 0
PAC
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
PAC
0 - 1
TOL
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PAC
0 - 1
QRO
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |