CONCACAF Champions Cup Final
Global 2-2
Cruz Azul vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
PUE
4 - 1
CAZ
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
CAZ
2 - 2
PAC
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAZ
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
CAZ
5 - 0
PUM
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CAZ
1 - 0
QRO
73%
18%
10%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
PAC
1 - 1
TOL
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
CAZ
2 - 2
PAC
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
PAC
0 - 2
ATS
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
PAC
1 - 0
TOL
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
IND
1 - 2
PAC
19%
25%
56%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |