Cruz Azul vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
MON
0 - 1
CAZ
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
CAZ
1 - 3
AME
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
CAZ
3 - 0
VER
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2006 |
SNL
2 - 1
CAZ
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
CAZ
3 - 1
NEC
58%
21%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
PAC
0 - 0
VER
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
SNL
2 - 3
PAC
31%
25%
44%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
PAC
4 - 1
NEC
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
CHI
3 - 2
PAC
43%
25%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2006 |
PAC
0 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |