Cruz Azul vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
CAZ
3 - 4
JAG
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
MON
3 - 0
CAZ
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
PUE
3 - 1
CAZ
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
PUM
3 - 2
CAZ
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2004 |
CAZ
0 - 0
PUM
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
VER
1 - 0
NEC
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
NEC
2 - 1
TIG
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
NEC
0 - 1
TOL
30%
28%
43%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
NEC
0 - 1
ATS
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2004 |
AME
3 - 2
NEC
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |