Cruz Azul vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
LEO
2 - 2
CAZ
26%
24%
51%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
CAZ
1 - 0
PUM
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2001 |
CAZ
1 - 0
PUE
73%
15%
11%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
REB
1 - 5
CAZ
11%
21%
68%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
ATS
0 - 0
CAZ
41%
24%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
NEC
2 - 0
REB
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2001 |
NEC
1 - 0
ATS
50%
22%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
IRA
2 - 3
NEC
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
NEC
0 - 4
TIG
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
PAC
2 - 2
NEC
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |