Cruz Azul vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
CAZ
0 - 2
UDG
67%
22%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
PUM
0 - 1
CAZ
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAZ
0 - 1
JAG
54%
24%
21%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 0
CAZ
38%
28%
35%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAZ
2 - 0
TIG
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 1
PUE
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 3
MOR
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 2
QRO
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
MOR
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 0
CAZ
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |