Liga MX Finals Cl. Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Cruz Azul vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
MON
1 - 5
CAZ
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 0
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 2
CAZ
45%
26%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAZ
5 - 0
TIJ
49%
25%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
CAZ
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
MOR
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOL
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TIJ
1 - 2
MOR
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 0
QRO
63%
22%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ATS
0 - 0
MOR
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |