Cruz Azul vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2005 |
CAZ
1 - 3
AME
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
AME
3 - 1
CAZ
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
CAZ
3 - 3
MON
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2005 |
MON
0 - 0
CAZ
48%
24%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAZ
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
MOR
1 - 1
EST
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2005 |
EST
1 - 0
MOR
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
MOR
2 - 1
TIG
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2005 |
TIG
3 - 2
MOR
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
MOR
2 - 1
ATL
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |