Cruz Azul vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
JAG
1 - 3
CAZ
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
CAZ
3 - 1
PUE
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
CAZ
1 - 0
SAN
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
AME
2 - 1
CAZ
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CAZ
3 - 3
DOR
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
MON
1 - 1
TIG
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
VER
0 - 2
MON
38%
25%
38%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
MON
0 - 1
PUM
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2004 |
PUM
2 - 1
MON
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
MON
3 - 1
ATL
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |