Cruz Azul vs Mazatlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ORL
0 - 0
CAZ
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
PHU
1 - 1
CAZ
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
CAZ
46%
27%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
CAZ
3 - 0
TIJ
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Mazatlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DCU
1 - 2
MAZ
70%
17%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
NSC
0 - 2
MAZ
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
NER
1 - 0
MAZ
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 0
MAZ
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 0
MAZ
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |