Cruz Azul vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
JAG
3 - 2
CAZ
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CAZ
2 - 1
SNL
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 3
CAZ
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
3 - 0
CAZ
47%
24%
28%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
CAZ
2 - 1
LEO
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
UAT
1 - 0
LOB
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2013 |
LOB
1 - 0
NEC
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LOB
0 - 2
LAP
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
LAP
1 - 2
LOB
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LOB
4 - 0
MER
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |