Cruz Azul vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
CAZ
32%
28%
41%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
JAG
3 - 2
CAZ
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 0
LOB
79%
15%
7%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CAZ
2 - 1
SNL
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 3
CAZ
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
JAG
1 - 1
MON
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
JAG
3 - 2
CAZ
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
JAG
0 - 2
AME
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
TIG
3 - 0
JAG
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PAC
2 - 1
JAG
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |