Liga MX Finals Cl. Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Cruz Azul vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
CAZ
2 - 2
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
VER
2 - 6
CAZ
32%
25%
43%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
CAZ
3 - 3
IRA
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
CAZ
2 - 0
PUM
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PUE
3 - 2
CAZ
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
QRO
0 - 0
JAG
34%
26%
39%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
JAG
2 - 1
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
PAC
3 - 3
JAG
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
IRA
0 - 0
JAG
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
JAG
2 - 1
ATL
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |