Cruz Azul vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
TIJ
3 - 2
CAZ
28%
28%
44%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CAZ
1 - 1
PUE
63%
23%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
CAZ
2 - 1
GAL
50%
24%
25%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
ATS
1 - 3
CAZ
27%
28%
46%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
CAZ
2 - 0
JUA
66%
22%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 2
NEC
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
LEO
4 - 3
CHI
68%
19%
12%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
CHI
3 - 0
AUR
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 1
SAN
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
PUE
1 - 1
CHI
46%
27%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |