Cruz Azul vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PUE
2 - 0
CAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
CAZ
3 - 0
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 3
MOR
56%
23%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 1
MON
53%
25%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAZ
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 1
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 2
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 0
AME
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 2
CHI
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 0
QRO
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |