Cruz Azul vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
27.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
TOL
1 - 3
CAZ
70%
17%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2003 |
STR
2 - 1
CAZ
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
CAZ
0 - 0
MON
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2003 |
CAZ
3 - 0
COR
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
AUR
2 - 0
CAZ
29%
26%
46%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2003 |
COR
6 - 1
FEN
78%
13%
9%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
CSM
1 - 2
FEN
30%
25%
46%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2003 |
FEN
2 - 0
STR
75%
15%
10%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
RIV
0 - 2
FEN
35%
25%
41%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
CEN
2 - 1
FEN
21%
24%
55%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |