Cruz Azul vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
REB
1 - 0
CAZ
20%
24%
56%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TIG
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
IRA
1 - 2
CAZ
19%
26%
55%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
CAZ
4 - 0
SNL
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PAC
2 - 1
CAZ
45%
26%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
QRO
0 - 0
ATS
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
ATS
0 - 0
LOB
66%
21%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ATS
2 - 1
MON
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
LOB
0 - 2
ATS
35%
26%
40%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ATS
2 - 1
ATL
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |