Cruz Azul vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CHI
3 - 3
CAZ
49%
25%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
TOL
0 - 2
CAZ
52%
26%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
CAZ
0 - 2
TOL
50%
26%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 1
CAZ
48%
24%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2008 |
CAZ
3 - 1
ATL
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
JAG
2 - 1
ATS
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
PAC
1 - 1
ATS
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ATS
2 - 1
MOR
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
TOL
4 - 0
ATS
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ATS
2 - 1
SAN
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |