Cruz Azul vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
MOR
0 - 1
CAZ
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2005 |
CAZ
0 - 0
TOL
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 0
CAZ
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
PAC
0 - 0
CAZ
43%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
CAZ
1 - 2
MON
52%
23%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
ATS
2 - 0
VER
60%
23%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
ATS
1 - 0
SNL
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
NEC
3 - 5
ATS
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
ATS
2 - 2
CHI
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 2
ATS
62%
21%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |