Cruz Azul vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
EST
3 - 3
CAZ
35%
24%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2005 |
TIG
0 - 3
CAZ
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
CAZ
3 - 0
VER
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
TOL
0 - 2
CAZ
57%
22%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CAZ
4 - 0
PAC
51%
24%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
ATS
1 - 1
TIG
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
VER
0 - 0
ATS
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
ATS
0 - 0
TOL
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
PAC
3 - 1
ATS
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ATS
2 - 2
ATL
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |