Cruz Azul vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TIG
40%
25%
36%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
VER
3 - 2
CAZ
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
CAZ
1 - 3
TOL
38%
26%
35%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
PAC
3 - 1
CAZ
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
CAZ
2 - 0
ATL
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
EST
0 - 1
NEC
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
TIG
2 - 2
EST
68%
20%
13%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
EST
3 - 2
MON
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
VER
1 - 0
EST
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
EST
0 - 1
JAG
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |