Cruz Azul vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2000 |
CAZ
4 - 1
TAC
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2000 |
CAZ
4 - 1
MIR
73%
16%
12%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2000 |
CAZ
1 - 3
ATL
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2000 |
TAC
1 - 0
CAZ
27%
24%
49%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2000 |
MIR
0 - 2
CAZ
34%
23%
43%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2001 |
DEF
3 - 2
OLM
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1996 |
DEF
2 - 1
UCH
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1996 |
UCH
3 - 2
DEF
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1996 |
DEF
0 - 0
SPC
52%
26%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1996 |
DEF
2 - 0
UNI
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |