Cruz Azul vs DC United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CAZ
0 - 2
MOR
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
PUM
0 - 2
CAZ
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
CAZ
1 - 1
MAR
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
51%
26%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
DCU
0 - 1
CAZ
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
DCU
2 - 1
NER
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2008 |
HOD
0 - 0
DCU
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
SAP
2 - 2
DCU
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
DCU
0 - 3
CHI
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
DCU
0 - 1
CAZ
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |