Cruz Azul vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TOL
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
CAZ
26%
27%
47%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CAZ
2 - 1
QRO
57%
25%
19%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 0
CAZ
22%
26%
52%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
MON
3 - 1
CAZ
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 2
CHO
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CHO
3 - 0
SMI
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
AMA
0 - 0
CHO
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
LDA
1 - 0
CHO
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 3
SFF
46%
28%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |