Cruz Azul vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
JAG
1 - 2
CAZ
30%
27%
44%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2002 |
CAZ
2 - 1
EST
78%
14%
9%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
CAZ
1 - 1
AME
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
PUM
1 - 1
CAZ
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
PUE
1 - 2
CAZ
29%
27%
45%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
TOR
1 - 1
MOR
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
TOR
2 - 2
JAG
41%
26%
34%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
ATL
4 - 2
TOR
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
TOR
0 - 1
AME
28%
28%
44%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
NEC
0 - 2
TOR
65%
20%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +2 |