Cruz Azul vs Cafetaleros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 1
LEO
59%
22%
18%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 1
CAZ
34%
27%
40%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
CAF
0 - 1
CAZ
15%
22%
63%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 0
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAZ
19%
23%
58%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 1
CAF
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CAF
0 - 1
DOR
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
CAF
0 - 1
CAZ
15%
22%
63%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
UAT
3 - 1
CAF
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
ATS
1 - 1
CAF
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |