Copa Libertadores Final
Global 1-1
Cruz Azul vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2001 |
CEN
3 - 3
CAZ
40%
24%
36%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2001 |
CAZ
2 - 0
CEN
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2001 |
CAZ
3 - 0
RIV
41%
23%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2001 |
RIV
0 - 0
CAZ
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2001 |
CAZ
3 - 1
CCP
63%
19%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2001 |
PAL
2 - 2
BOC
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
EST
1 - 1
BOC
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2001 |
BOC
2 - 2
PAL
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2001 |
BOC
4 - 4
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2001 |
BOC
3 - 0
VAS
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |