Cruz Azul vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
QRO
0 - 2
CAZ
29%
28%
43%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
CAZ
2 - 2
MAZ
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ORL
0 - 0
CAZ
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
PHU
1 - 1
CAZ
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
CAZ
46%
27%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
PUE
70%
19%
12%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AME
0 - 0
COR
46%
23%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
AME
4 - 2
STC
87%
9%
4%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AME
2 - 1
ATS
66%
20%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AME
1 - 0
ASV
29%
24%
47%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | +1 |