Liga MX Finals Cl. Final
Global 1-2
Cruz Azul vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
CAZ
1 - 2
MON
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
CAZ
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
CAZ
2 - 2
PUM
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
PUM
0 - 2
CAZ
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 1
CAZ
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
AME
1 - 0
CHI
58%
23%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 0
AME
42%
25%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AME
1 - 1
PAC
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 1
AME
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
PAC
2 - 1
AME
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |