La Calzada vs CD Varea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.3%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
85.1%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
14%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
19.1%
0-4
9.7%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
12.4%
0-5
5.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.6%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
3%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VIA
2 - 1
CDF
75%
15%
10%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CDF
0 - 1
RAP
10%
17%
74%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
BER
5 - 0
CDF
70%
18%
12%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CDF
0 - 3
ANG
5%
11%
85%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CDF
0 - 4
HAR
5%
13%
83%
|
10 | 41 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 3
RIV
88%
9%
4%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SDL
2 - 0
VAR
70%
18%
13%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 2
PRA
90%
7%
3%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
YAG
1 - 2
VAR
13%
17%
70%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 2
IZA
30%
24%
46%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |