La Calzada vs CD Varea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.2%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
79.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ANG
1 - 2
CDF
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CDF
0 - 3
HAR
8%
17%
75%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 0
CDF
52%
23%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CDF
2 - 2
ARN
46%
25%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 1
CDF
76%
16%
8%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 1
ALF
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
VAR
5%
12%
83%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 1
VIA
91%
7%
2%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 0
VAR
6%
12%
82%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | -2 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
OYO
0 - 1
VAR
6%
12%
82%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |