La Calzada vs San Marcial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
AGO
3 - 2
CDF
63%
20%
17%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CDF
1 - 1
RAP
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
VIA
1 - 3
CDF
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CDF
3 - 0
TED
22%
23%
55%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
RIV
3 - 1
CDF
56%
22%
23%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
San Marcial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SMC
0 - 0
RAP
37%
23%
40%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
TED
2 - 2
SMC
69%
18%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SMC
0 - 2
ALF
9%
16%
75%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
HAR
5 - 0
SMC
91%
7%
2%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
SMC
1 - 5
ANG
9%
17%
75%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | -1 |