La Calzada vs Oyonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
9º
5º
56
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
6º
|
94% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
2.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
71.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 49% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 51% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VIA
1 - 1
CDF
22%
23%
55%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CDF
1 - 1
YAG
65%
19%
15%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
HAR
4 - 1
CDF
26%
24%
49%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CDF
2 - 1
VAR
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
BER
1 - 2
CDF
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Oyonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
OYO
1 - 2
BER
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 3
OYO
19%
23%
59%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
OYO
2 - 0
RRF
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ANG
1 - 0
OYO
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
AGO
1 - 1
OYO
42%
25%
34%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |