La Calzada vs River Ebro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
10º
6º
16
11º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 90 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 81 |
2º
|
79.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 73 |
3º
|
77% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 66 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 52 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 40 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 39 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 36 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 33 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 31 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 28 |
17º
|
21% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 23 |
18º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
37% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 45.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 54.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
VIA
1 - 0
CDF
17%
23%
60%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CDF
1 - 2
BAL
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BER
2 - 3
CDF
30%
25%
46%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
0 - 4
CDF
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CDF
2 - 2
VAR
27%
23%
50%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
River Ebro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
RIV
0 - 0
AUT
45%
25%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
TED
2 - 1
RIV
24%
24%
52%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
RIV
2 - 1
OYO
17%
23%
59%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VIA
2 - 0
RIV
23%
23%
54%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 0
BAL
23%
24%
54%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +2 |