La Calzada vs Casalarreina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
CDF
2 - 1
ALF
10%
18%
71%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
CDF
47%
24%
29%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CDF
1 - 2
VIA
41%
26%
33%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
4 - 1
CDF
53%
23%
23%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CDF
2 - 2
OYO
36%
27%
38%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Casalarreina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
OYO
0 - 0
CAS
13%
20%
68%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
CDS
92%
6%
2%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CEN
0 - 1
CAS
9%
17%
74%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 0
BER
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CAV
0 - 3
CAS
13%
19%
68%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |