CDF San Martín vs Alegría analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDF San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
AUR
2 - 0
CDF
74%
14%
12%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CDF
0 - 1
CDS
28%
21%
51%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CDF
0 - 0
IKE
63%
18%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CDS
6 - 0
CDF
31%
22%
48%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CDF
3 - 2
MKE
53%
21%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alegría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ALE
2 - 0
CDS
24%
23%
53%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MKE
0 - 1
ALE
69%
18%
14%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
ALE
2 - 2
ADC
20%
20%
60%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 1
ALE
26%
22%
52%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ALE
0 - 1
AMU
22%
22%
56%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |