Valdepeñas vs Manzanares CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
12º
16º
16º
1
7º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
4 | 68 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 64 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 61 |
3º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 60 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 59 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 56 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 55 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 50 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 50 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 44 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 44 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 43 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 41 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 39 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 35 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
2 | 30 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
1 | 25 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 24 |
18º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
52.5% | 34% |
|
Relegation
|
45.5% | 65.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CDB
1 - 0
SON
52%
22%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SON
1 - 1
CDB
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FUE
4 - 3
CDB
10%
17%
73%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CDB
1 - 0
PED
50%
24%
27%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 1
CDB
30%
24%
46%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manzanares CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 0
MAN
43%
25%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
MAD
51%
24%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
QUI
0 - 1
MAN
32%
26%
42%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 2
CAM
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TER
0 - 0
MAN
45%
24%
32%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |