Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-3
Valdepeñas vs Gimnástico de Alcázar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
CDB
0 - 1
AVI
34%
31%
35%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1992 |
GIM
3 - 2
CDB
39%
28%
33%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
SPB
4 - 0
CDB
62%
24%
14%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 1992 |
CDB
2 - 0
GUA
82%
12%
6%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
CDB
1 - 3
SLA
37%
32%
31%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnástico de Alcázar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
GIM
0 - 0
CIU
76%
17%
7%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1992 |
GIM
3 - 2
CDB
39%
28%
33%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +3 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
AZU
0 - 6
GIM
23%
30%
48%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1992 |
CDT
1 - 3
GIM
74%
17%
10%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
GIM
2 - 0
PED
73%
18%
8%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |