CD Vitoria vs CD Lagun Onak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
6º
2º
30
7º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
46% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
URD
0 - 1
CDV
20%
24%
56%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CDV
0 - 1
BAR
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DEU
1 - 1
CDV
28%
26%
46%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CDV
4 - 0
CDT
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 3
CDV
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lagun Onak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LON
1 - 1
BAS
36%
27%
37%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 2
LON
29%
26%
45%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
URD
1 - 0
LON
28%
27%
46%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LON
0 - 1
BAR
25%
25%
50%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DEU
1 - 1
LON
41%
27%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |