CD Villanueva vs Cerro de Reyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
AGD
2 - 0
VVA
57%
25%
18%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
VVA
0 - 1
EXT
46%
25%
30%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
ALC
2 - 1
VVA
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
VVA
2 - 2
AGU
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
CDL
1 - 0
VVA
56%
25%
19%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro de Reyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
CER
0 - 2
ECI
25%
26%
50%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
MAL
0 - 0
CER
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
CER
1 - 0
GRA
41%
26%
33%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
CER
2 - 3
POR
25%
26%
50%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
AGD
3 - 0
CER
61%
24%
16%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |