Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-2
CD Villanueva vs UD Almansa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
ALM
1 - 0
VVA
34%
29%
38%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
VVA
2 - 1
CAD
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
CAR
1 - 2
VVA
16%
25%
60%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
VVA
2 - 0
ANT
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
BAL
3 - 2
VVA
28%
29%
43%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
UD Almansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
ALM
1 - 0
VVA
34%
29%
38%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
CDT
0 - 3
ALM
36%
27%
37%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
ALM
1 - 0
UDS
73%
18%
9%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
TAR
0 - 1
ALM
20%
25%
55%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ALM
0 - 1
MAN
67%
20%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |