CD Villanueva vs Carolinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
43.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAZ
0 - 0
CDV
47%
22%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BEG
2 - 1
CDV
62%
20%
18%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDV
2 - 2
CDR
73%
16%
12%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAZ
0 - 2
CDV
54%
21%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CDV
2 - 0
BAE
35%
23%
43%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAE
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BEG
0 - 0
CAR
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
IDJ
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDA
2 - 1
CAR
12%
18%
70%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
5 - 1
ADL
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |